Quinnipiac put a poll in the field March 9 through March 15th, and today released a statement on the results:
Among Democrats, 44 percent of voters are undecided, while businessman Ned Lamont gets 28 percent to Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy’s 18 percent. No other candidate tops 4 percent.
As I’ve said elsewhere, polls this far out aren’t terribly meaningful in terms of head to head match-ups and, as others have pointed out, with 44 percent undecided this is still wide open.
What I find interesting about this poll is that Malloy hasn’t spent a dime on paid advertising, it has been all earned media. And Malloy and the campaign has really earned every bit of it, by being the hardest working candidate that I’ve ever seen, putting out substantive statements all the time, offering tons of video, regular email updates to supporters, and so on.
Malloy’s vote share has moved 7 points without spending a dime. Ned hasn’t spent any money on paid media either, and he’s moved but a point. That tells me that the Malloy campaign’s focus on issues, on shoe leather campaigning, on direct contact with the voters, is working. The time will come for paid media, and when it does, Malloy will be competitive.
As far as it goes, this is good news for Malloy.
On the Republican side, Foley is the clear frontrunner, according to Quinnipiac.
On the Republican side, Foley has emerged as a leader in the primary campaign with 30 percent, but 50 percent are undecided. No other candidate tops 4 percent.
“Like Linda McMahon, Tom Foley is the only candidate for governor who is on TV, which helps him break away from the Republican pack. Even Foley, however, is largely unknown to Republicans and the big winner is still undecided,” Dr. Schwartz said.
About the poll (from Quinnipiac’s press release):
From March 9 – 15, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,451 Connecticut registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. The survey includes 549 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.2 percentage points and 387 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 5 percentage points.
The entire release is available here.